The latest polls from the swing state of Colorado, Iowa, Florida, Ohio, and Nevada show Donald Trump is surging.
In Colorado, the Emerson poll has Donald Trump with a 4% lead in a four way race. Donald Trump gets 42%, Hillary Clinton gets 38%, Gary Johnson gets 13%, and Jill Stein gets 3%. Throughout August the RCP average consistently showed Hillary with a 10% lead. That lead has now evaporated.
In Florida, a few polls were released that all showed Donald Trump surging in this state.
In Ohio, a bunch of poll now show Donald Trump with a commanding lead.
Donald Trump is also putting liberal states like Michigan and Maine in play this election cycle. Michigan and Maine have not voted for a Republican Presidential candidate in decades.
CNN/ORC 2016 Presidential Election Poll
After a month of Hillary Clinton leading in the national polls, Donald Trump has regained momentum and is leading once again. A previous CNN poll showed Hillary Clinton with a 8% lead. The latest poll shows a 10% reversal with Trump not leading by 2%.
In a new poll taken by Roanoke College, Donald Trump ties Hillary in Virginia. Donald Trump and Hillary both receive 38% of the vote. The margin of error was +/-4%. There were 610 likely voters asked between the dates May 9, 2016 - May 17, 2016.
Virginia is an important swing state. Barack Obama won Virginia in 2008 and 2012. This is a crucial state for Donald Trump to win to get to 270 electoral votes.
The last time a Republican won New Jersey was in 1988 when George H.W. Bush was elected President. Since the election of 1988 Democrats have won New Jersey with substantial margins of victory. With the exception of the 1992 Presidential election the Democrats have always received over 50% of the vote in New Jersey. Conventional wisdom would say that in 2016 New Jersey will not be in play. However this election has proven that it is not following the conventional rules.
A Quinnipiac poll that was released last week shows Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump in New jersey but only by 7%. Hillary Clinton receives 45% of the vote and Donald Trump receives 38%.
This week Fox News and Rasmussen released two 2016 national polls between Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton. In both polls Donald Trump leads Hillary Clinton.
In the Fox News polls:
1021 registered voters were asked. The margin of error is +/- 3%. The poll was conducted between May 14, 2016 - May 17, 2016.
In the Rasmussen Poll:
1000 likely voters were asked, The margin of error is +/-3%. The poll was conducted between May 17, 2016 - May 18, 2016.
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