To win the White House first Donald Trump must win all the states that Mitt Romney won in 2012. The map below shows the states that Romney won.
Donald Trump must then win Ohio and Florida. Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania although very much in play this election, they have a record of voting for the Democrat Presidential candidate and have not voted for a Republican in decades. Recent polling does show Donald Trump only down by a few percent in those three states.
The latest polls from Nevada, Colorado and Iowa all show Donald Trump is ahead of Hillary Clinton. Trump taking those three states will put Donald Trump at 275 which is 5 above 270 the minimum required of electoral votes to win the Presidency. We also give Trump one electoral vote from maine because the latest polls show Trump winning in Maine's 2nd Congressional district which gives allocates one electoral vote to the winner of the popular vote in the 2md Congressional district.
The outcomes in the two remaining states of New Hampshire and Virginia would not matter if my prediction above is correct. As it stands right now Hillary is ahead of Donald Trump in New Hampshire and in Virginia so we put both of those states in her column.
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